While Europe faces long recovery, retail rates slip further, corporate interest rates reel

 

Europe has begun opening back up following extensive lockdowns to control the Covid-19 pandemic but, according to most analyses including that of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, the continent has a long way to go on the road to recovery. The most powerful political players in Europe, Merkel and France’s Emmanuel Macron, joined the interventionist side along with the European Central Bank, making the case for strong measures to support the EU’s harder hit economies, despite protest from among the German conservatives and free market liberals. The ECB’s chief economist Philip Lane argued that the central bank’s steps thus far, including  “PEPP; refinancing operations; collateral-easing measures,” have contributed to the EU’s stabilization (PEPP referring to the pandemic emergency purchasing programme).

 

COMPARISONS:

Cash glut at largest financial institutions drives rates down

Top 1-year interest rates on deposits in Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal, Denmark, and as far east as Romania are between 0.57% and 0.97%, while the same deposits at those markets’ largest banks all feature rates under 0.05%, according to Raisin’s new research.

Rates on 1-year deposits at the biggest financial institutions in Spain, Belgium, Austria, and Ireland are not much higher, all hovering around 0.1%.

 

What’s driving the interest rate spread in European banking

The European Central Bank’s deposit rate currently stands at -0.50%. Banks are required to hold funds in reserve with the ECB to cover withdrawals by their customers. They generally deposit much more than the mandatory amount, however, and pay the penalty. The ECB’s interest rate is seen as a tool: by pushing down the cost of credit and making banks pay when they hold onto cash rather than lend it, the central bank intends to stimulate lending, investing and other economic activity. But at the moment many of the biggest banks simply have too much cash and are either reluctant to use it on lending or aren’t experiencing enough demand.

Smaller banks don’t have this problem, rather tending to need to attract more customers to build up their liquidity, to meet local and regional demand for loans. So small to mid-sized banks often offer more lucrative interest rates, and a gap develops between interest rates at the biggest banks and small to mid-sized institutions. For consumers the more profitable alternatives don’t involve greater risk, since all of their deposits are covered by the European deposit guarantee guidelines in each country.

 

Consumers in most of Europe can find higher rates – if they search

The gap between rates at the largest banks and top available rates especially stands out in Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal and Denmark. Consumers in Spain and Italy, though, as well as Belgium, Austria and Sweden, cannot count on the big familiar banks in their markets if they want to earn any yield on their term deposits.

In the UK the ratio is just 2:1, one of the narrowest, and yet the difference for consumers is still a matter of earning twice as much interest by shifting money into top offers. Only in Ireland, when Raisin’s 1-year offers are excluded (currently up to 13 times higher than the average rates at the big banks)*, the ‘top offers’ have sunk lower than the biggest banks’ offers.

*These rates are calculated excluding Raisin’s platform and, where one exists, any direct competitor in each market.

 

Comparing big banks to top available offers

Average of 1-year term deposit offers for retail customers offered by the 3 largest banks in the local market; as of 19/05/2020. Criteria: EUR 10,000 deposit; offers for both new and existing clients. Usually, largest banks based on balance sheet size, which offer term deposits.

Top rates on deposits decline across much of Europe

Across Europe a number of the largest economies saw their top 1- and 3-year rates sink, including Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway and the UK. Top rates in France, Austria, Belgium, Portugal and Ireland held steady. Not a single market saw an increase in top rates since mid-May.

Even so, top rates remain far above the interest offered on deposits at the largest banks in most European markets.

*This data excludes offers on Raisin platforms. The “top offers” category excludes offers from the three biggest banks and reflects the market’s best available offers outside those banks.

 

Top 1-year and 3-year rates

Average of the top 3 term deposit offers for retail customers based on local comparison sites as of 19/05/2020. Criteria: EUR 10,000 deposit; 1 product per bank; offers for both new and existing clients.

 

RETAIL INTEREST RATES:

Retail rates in France and Italy took big hit as pandemic began

The European Central Bank’s most recent data on retail interest rates (April) shows an overall decline as the impact of the pandemic sank in, with the Eurozone average dropping 29% (minus 9 basis points).

The biggest hits were taken by France (down 19 basis points to 0.57% average rate on up to one-year deposits), Italy (minus 65 basis points to 0.91%) and Slovakia (minus 15 basis points to 0.41%).

At least ten of the Eurozone countries are stuck under 0.2% on average for an up to one-year deposit.

 

Average Retail Rates across Europe – ECB

Average interest rate for new deposits, private households; maturities ≤ 1 year, ECB data. Note: The Dutch Central Bank time-series for deposits with maturities up to one year includes a country-specific “construction depot” with higher average rates than overnight and term deposits..

 

CORPORATE INTEREST RATES:

Pandemic produced volatility in corporate rates

The first weeks of the global Covid-19 pandemic saw significant changes in corporate interest rates with Spain, the Netherlands, and Belgium all dropping 13 to 16 basis points, and Malta plunging down 61 basis points. This is according to the European Central Bank’s latest data, from April 2020.

Spain has now joined the countries with negative interest rates, with a new average -0.12% on corporate deposits.

At the same time corporate rates in Germany, Austria, Italy and the Baltic countries (particularly Estonia, Lithuania and Finland) rose significantly. Germany and Austria, however, still feature on average negative corporate rates of -0.17% and -0.01% respectively.

Corporates in Germany can find much products with much higher yields, however, on deposit platforms. (Through a Commerzbank portal as well as on its own German business platform Raisin, for instance, currently offers rates up to over 2% from banks in Germany, France and other European Economic Area markets.)

 

Average Corporate Rates across Europe – ECB

Average interest rate for new deposits, corporates, maturities ≤ 1 year, Euro Area Statistics.

Other sources: European Central Bank, Raisin, Bloomberg, FT.

Header image: Raphaël Biscaldi on Unsplash

About Raisin
A trailblazer for open banking and the leading pan-European one-stop shop for online savings and investments, Berlin-based fintech Raisin was founded in 2012 by Dr. Tamaz Georgadze (CEO), Dr. Frank Freund (CFO) and Michael Stephan (COO). Raisin’s platforms — under the brand WeltSparen in the German-speaking world — are breaking down barriers to better savings for European consumers and SMEs: Raisin’s marketplace offers simple access at no charge to attractive and guaranteed deposit products from all over Europe, as well as globally diversified, cost-effective ETF portfolios and pension products (currently available in Germany). With one online registration, customers can choose from all available investments and subsequently manage their accounts. Since launch in 2013, Raisin has placed 23.5 billion EUR for more than 265,000 customers in 28+ European countries and 92 partner banks. Raisin was named to Europe’s top 5 fintechs by the renowned FinTech50 awards and is backed by prestigious European and American investors such as btov Ventures, Goldman Sachs, PayPal Ventures, Thrive Capital, Index Ventures, Orange Digital Ventures and Ribbit Capital. Raisin UK in Manchester, banking-as-a-service provider Raisin Bank in Frankfurt, pensions specialist fairr, and Raisin Technology (formerly Choice Financial Solutions) all belong to Raisin.

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